Forex Topic: Oil - Action Forex https://www.actionforex.com/tag/oil/ Live Forex Analysis, Currency Rates, Economic Calendar, Technical Forecast, Fundamental News, Free Trading Signals. Best. USD Dollar, EUR Euro, JPY Yen, GBP Pound, CHF Swiss Franc, CAD Canadian Dollar, AUD Australian Dollar, NZD New Zealand Dollar Thu, 26 Dec 2024 16:32:54 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 WTI Wave Analysis https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580705-wti-wave-analysis-36/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580705-wti-wave-analysis-36/#respond Thu, 26 Dec 2024 16:32:10 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=580705

WTI broke daily Triangle Likely to rise to resistance level 70.90 WTI crude oil today broke the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from the end of October, inside which the price has been moving from October. The breakout of this Triangle continues the active short-term impulse wave (iii) of the higher order impulse wave […]

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Let’s Focus on the Good for a Few More Days https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/580579-lets-focus-on-the-good-for-a-few-more-days/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/580579-lets-focus-on-the-good-for-a-few-more-days/#respond Mon, 23 Dec 2024 09:25:58 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=580579

Last week was chaotic. The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish 25bp cut, the hint from the dot plot that there would be only two rate cuts next year instead of four – because the US economy is too strong to continue the cuts as previously predicted – and the US debt limit shenanigans even before Trump […]

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Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Face Hurdles https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580551-gold-price-and-crude-oil-price-face-hurdles/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580551-gold-price-and-crude-oil-price-face-hurdles/#respond Mon, 23 Dec 2024 09:03:00 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=580551

Gold price started a fresh decline below $2,665. Crude oil prices are now struggling to clear the $70.00 and $70.50 resistance levels. Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today Gold price climbed higher toward the $2,665 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar. A key bearish trend line is […]

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WTI Oil Drifts Lower But Strong Support Below https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580361-wti-oil-drifts-lower-but-strong-support-below/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580361-wti-oil-drifts-lower-but-strong-support-below/#respond Fri, 20 Dec 2024 11:12:55 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=580361

WTI Oil continues to trade sideways, but bias is bearish Price remains constrained between key resistance and support levels WTI Oil (Cash) is headed for a fifth straight day of declines, slipping below 69.00 and widening the gap with the Ichimoku cloud. The technical indicators are bearish, but to a varying extent. The stochastic oscillator […]

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Brent Oil Under Pressure Again: USD and China in Focus https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580305-brent-oil-under-pressure-again-usd-and-china-in-focus/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/580305-brent-oil-under-pressure-again-usd-and-china-in-focus/#respond Fri, 20 Dec 2024 09:17:58 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=580305

Brent crude oil prices fell below 73 USD per barrel on Friday, reflecting ongoing downward pressure. The market is poised to close the week with losses as a robust US dollar weighs heavily on commodity prices. This week, the US Federal Reserve signalled a measured approach to reducing borrowing costs in 2025, sending the US […]

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Ouch https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/580140-ouch/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/580140-ouch/#respond Thu, 19 Dec 2024 06:50:04 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=580140

Sometimes, the truth is hard to say—and even harder to hear. The Federal Reserve (Fed) announced another 25bp cut as widely expected and priced in, but hinted that there will be just about two rate cuts throughout next year. The GDP forecasts for this year and the next were revised higher, the unemployment rate lower, […]

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We May See Kneejerk Downleg in US (front-end) Yields and Dollar After Dot Plot Release https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579984-we-may-see-kneejerk-downleg-in-us-front-end-yields-and-dollar-after-dot-plot-release/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579984-we-may-see-kneejerk-downleg-in-us-front-end-yields-and-dollar-after-dot-plot-release/#respond Wed, 18 Dec 2024 07:44:57 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=579984

Markets Retail sales for November were solid on face value though the details offered a more balanced picture. That was enough to cap the intraday rise in US yields. Net daily changes varied in a tight range between -1 bps and +0.7 bps in an otherwise uneventful session. German rates eased up to 1.7 bps […]

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The Magic Combo https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579818-the-magic-combo/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579818-the-magic-combo/#respond Tue, 17 Dec 2024 07:09:00 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=579818

Europe appears to be coming apart one nation at a time’, writes Bloomberg to summarize the complicated politics of the old continent. After the French snap election led to a divided government and an ungovernable France since summer, German politicians gave a no-confidence verdict for the three-way ruling party of Germany, paving the way for […]

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Market Year Wrap 2024: Key Highlights and Outlook for 2025 https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579766-market-year-wrap-2024-key-highlights-and-outlook-for-2025/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579766-market-year-wrap-2024-key-highlights-and-outlook-for-2025/#respond Mon, 16 Dec 2024 15:38:28 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=579766

The year 2024 has been a transformative period in the global financial markets, characterised by a mix of challenges and opportunities. Inflation battles, monetary policy shifts, economic uncertainties, and surprising bouts of optimism dominated the landscape. These forces created a volatile yet dynamic environment where some markets flourished while others struggled under significant pressure. From […]

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Sunset Market Commentary https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579323-sunset-market-commentary-1530/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579323-sunset-market-commentary-1530/#respond Thu, 12 Dec 2024 15:17:25 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=579323

Markets The ECB as expected lowered the policy rates by 25 bps to 3% (deposit). The ECB will no longer reinvest some of the maturing PEPP bonds, allowing for a natural roll-off of the pandemic bond portfolio in fashion identical to APP. The central bank in its statement said disinflation is well on track. CPI […]

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Sunset Market Commentary https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579173-sunset-market-commentary-1529/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/579173-sunset-market-commentary-1529/#respond Wed, 11 Dec 2024 15:20:06 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=579173

Markets Today’s November US CPI inflation numbers convinced final doubters that the Fed would stick to the plan set out in the September dot plot and lower rates by 25 bps at its policy meeting next year. The data printed bang in line with expectations: a 0.3% monthly increase in both headline and core CPI […]

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The Best Defense is a Good Offense https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578916-the-best-defense-is-a-good-offense/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578916-the-best-defense-is-a-good-offense/#respond Tue, 10 Dec 2024 07:18:00 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578916

Sentiment in Chinese equities reversed suddenly to a significantly more bullish state after the Politburo – which is the highest-decision making bodies within the Communist Party – pledged to embrace a ‘moderately loose’ monetary policy in 2025. This is a meaningful dovish shift from the ‘prudent’ stance of the past 14 years, hinting that further […]

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WTI Crude Oil Faces Resistance: Can Recovery Take Hold? https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/578891-wti-crude-oil-faces-resistance-can-recovery-take-hold/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/578891-wti-crude-oil-faces-resistance-can-recovery-take-hold/#respond Tue, 10 Dec 2024 05:22:43 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578891

Key Highlights WTI Crude Oil prices are struggling to recover above the $70.00 resistance zone. A connecting bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $69.75 on the 4-hour chart. Gold prices could advance if there is a clear move above $2,700. EUR/USD must surpass 1.0700 to gain bullish momentum. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical […]

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Gold Consolidates While WTI Crude Oil Faces Continued Struggles https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/578808-gold-consolidates-while-wti-crude-oil-faces-continued-struggles/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/578808-gold-consolidates-while-wti-crude-oil-faces-continued-struggles/#respond Mon, 09 Dec 2024 08:10:02 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578808

Gold price is consolidating above the $2,600 support zone. Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $66.80. Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today Gold price started a recovery wave from the $2,610 zone against the US Dollar. A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $2,650 on […]

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A Big Week for Central Banks https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578782-a-big-week-for-central-banks/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578782-a-big-week-for-central-banks/#respond Mon, 09 Dec 2024 07:10:54 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578782

Bashar al-Assad’s regime fell over the weekend, Korean lawmakers prepare another impeachment attempt against their President who narrowly avoided removal after briefly imposing martial law last week, and France remains without a new presidential nominee. As such, the US Dollar is stronger on safety demand and crude Oil is better bid on renewed political uncertainty […]

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WTI Crude Oil Wave Analysis https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/578741-wti-crude-oil-wave-analysis-18/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/technical-analysis/578741-wti-crude-oil-wave-analysis-18/#respond Mon, 09 Dec 2024 05:39:14 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578741

WTI crude oil broke support zone Likely to fall to support levels 66.6 and 66.00 WTI crude oil today broke the support zone lying at the intersection of the support level 67.60 and the support trendline of the daily Triangle from September. The breakout of this support zone should add to the bearish pressure on […]

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Markets Weekly Outlook – Central Bank Focus as US Inflation Looms https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578652-markets-weekly-outlook-central-bank-focus-as-us-inflation-looms/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578652-markets-weekly-outlook-central-bank-focus-as-us-inflation-looms/#respond Fri, 06 Dec 2024 20:06:57 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578652

US Jobs report all but confirms a December rate cut, with markets pricing in an 80% probability. Nasdaq nears 22,000 as US equities continue their strong performance, with the S&P 500 also hitting record highs. Global markets await US CPI and ECB decisions, with expectations of a 25 bps rate cut from the ECB. Focus […]

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It’s Been A Surprisingly Good Week https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578475-its-been-a-surprisingly-good-week/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578475-its-been-a-surprisingly-good-week/#respond Fri, 06 Dec 2024 07:34:39 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578475

Against all odds, yesterday ended up being a good day – at least for investors who have exposure to the French assets. The French government fell and the political uncertainty shifted to a higher gear yet, the French 10-year yield eased, the euro gained, and the CAC 40 hasn’t had such a good week since […]

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Macron on the Hunt for a New Prime Minister as Barnier Resigns https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578473-macron-on-the-hunt-for-a-new-prime-minister-as-barnier-resigns/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578473-macron-on-the-hunt-for-a-new-prime-minister-as-barnier-resigns/#respond Fri, 06 Dec 2024 07:32:58 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578473

In focus today The main data event will be the US Jobs Report for November. We expect Nonfarm Payrolls growth to recover to 160k (cons: 200k, prior: 12k) after temporary weather-related effects have reversed. We anticipate average hourly earnings growth moderated to +0.2% m/m SA and unemployment rate remaining steady at 4.1%. Preliminary results from […]

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Sunset Market Commentary https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578427-sunset-market-commentary-1525/ https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/578427-sunset-market-commentary-1525/#respond Thu, 05 Dec 2024 15:05:33 +0000 https://www.actionforex.com/?p=578427

Markets Very few market-moving data in the US and EMU today. US markets are counting down to tomorrow’s US payrolls. This report, together with the US November CPI data (to be released on Dec 11), will provide concluding data evidence for the Dec 18 Fed policy meeting. US markets still only discount about 75% of […]

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